Let's put it this way. I wouldn't like to swap the rest of our fixtures with QPR or Wigan. QPR may have beaten Arsenal at home but I don't see one single gimme in any of their remaining games. Away from home they have United, West Brom, Chelsea and City and at home they have Swansea, Stoke and Spurs. Realistically I have to say that the run in is just too tough for them to survive.
Let's look at Wigan. They have Chelsea, Arsenal, Fulham and Blackburn away and United, Newcastle and Wolves at home for the last game of the season. For Wigan to survive they will have to pull the rabbit out of the hat every single game.
Wolves look doomed. With Stoke, Sunderland, Swansea and Wigan away and Arsenal, City and Everton at home you just cannot see where the points are coming from.
We have won three games on the trot and with Fulham, Spurs, Swansea and West Brom at home we could potentially pick up eight points. Newcastle, Sunderland and Stoke away is potentially four points. If we can pick up twelve points from our remaining seven games we will finish with forty one points and it wont matter what the rest of those around us achieve.
Twelve points from our remaining seven games. that's all it will take.
P.S. I forgot about the Villa game. A draw away will give us forty two points.