Last season of the three clubs relegated from the Premier only West Ham got back at the first attempt and even then only via the play offs. They also had the biggest budget in the division - so big budget does not necessarily mean instant promotion like some think.
Birmingham are in a financial mess and lost the divisions best manager in Chris Hughton so I'd be surprised, even with their parachute payment, that they will challenge this coming season.
I’m never convinced about Holloway but fair play to him he got Blackpool into the play offs but I doubt he will do it again.
Blackburn's future depends on what Venky's plan to do - so as long as they keep control and don't invest I can't see Blackburn really challenging at the top.
Wolves however are a different matter - their success depends on how quickly their Norwegian manager susses out Championship football - I'm fairly sure they will be up there at the end of the season.
Leicester have spent a lot and under achieved so far but I think they will be challenging this time around.
Cardiff have got new owners and some money to play with, so I think they will challenge too.
I think Boro under Mowbray will be up there too.
Leeds can never be written off and whether you like him or not Warnock is a smart manager.
Charlton dominated the third division last year but I don’t think they will find it so easy at this level.
As for Bolton we should mount a challenge but I have serious doubts about Coyle’s ability. Yes I know he got Burnley up but he’s been found out as a one trick pony – 4-4-2 attack, with no plan B or a decent defensive plan.
A lot of hopes are being pinned on Holden and Lee but what if they aren’t the same after their lay offs – and even if they are will they be sold in January?
I don’t think we will win automatic promotion and I fear that a season of Coyle’s lack of any form of footballing nous will catch up with us in the last month or so of the run in.
I’d be happy to be proved wrong though but either way we certainly will be no where near 100 points at the end of the season.
That’s all from Mystic Sluffy!