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How Bolton Wanderers are revolutionising the use of data analysis in football to win back their Prem

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Sluffy

Sluffy
Admin

As football clubs across the country consider which overpriced players to purchase in the summer transfer window, Bolton Wonderers have another trick up their sleeve. Clue: it’s much cheaper, and smarter, than Luis Suarez – and it doesn’t bite.

While performance analysis is nothing new in sports – most football teams these days have a dedicated sports science department – there have been a raft of limitations around bringing information together and generating genuine value. For Bolton, it’s now all about data blending and visualisation.

There is no doubt that the footballing world is behind other industries when it comes to gaining value from information. The trouble does not lie with the collection of data – organisations like Opta and Prozone churn out endless statistics – but, rather, collating it all and turning it into something meaningful for the manager.

“The analytics from BBC and Sky, and even Opta and Prozone, is great for fans and pub talk, but for us it doesn’t mean anything,” says Brian Prestige, head of analytical development at Bolton. “The person with the most tackles means nothing.

“We’re after clever defenders who intercept and have the right starting positions. They maximise their efficiency by not running around the pitch trying to lunge in and tackle everyone, but by trying to just intercept key passes because they’re keeping in shape.”

Ironically, it was in fact a former Bolton manager, Sam Allardyce, who pioneered the use of Prozone – which analyses almost every part of a player’s game – in the decisions he made on the pitch and in training. The company has since become the de facto source of performance analysis for football clubs across the world, but has attracted a growing number of cynics.

Prestige, who has worked at Bolton for nine years in various analytical roles, has been in that camp for quite a while. On top of the challenge of collating data, and presenting it in an accessible way to the coaches, he also noticed a major flaw in the culture of football.

“It’s the same problem that all football clubs have faced and still are facing: not data, but people,” he says. “The culture and philosophy in the organisation.

“I felt we were behind a lot of other industries and we wanted to change that. We needed a change – a data-driven and analytical mindset.”

Eighteen months ago, he set out on a mission to do just that. His team started by identifying what Bolton needed to do to create a philosophy at the club.

Every department at Bolton has a philosophy book of best practices, whether that be coaching, recruitment or sports science. Prestige and his team added an analytical book to that, and used it as a shrine for how the club was going to progress.

They then went about each individual staff member – there are 30 in total, not including the players – understanding how they want to use their data and what exactly they’re trying to get out of it. This helped them identify a couple of key problems, the first of which being the variety of staff.

“Each of them is a different learner – some may be visual, some may be more verbal and some may be a combination of both,” Prestige says. “We then have people who have hardly touched a computer before through to people who are very – from a footballing perspective – good with computers.

“On top of that, we have people from an academic background and people who all they’ve done is kicked a ball all there life. So it was about trying to understand the different people we have, and how we can actually adapt whatever methods and processes we go through to all of them.”

The next problem was the number of data points. Like every top football club, Bolton collects a high volume, density and variety of data from a raft of different sources – both structured and unstructured.

Prestige even admits that the attention levels of players during team talks are analysed and fed back to the manager, Dougie Freedman. So how can they deal with all this information?

“Like most football clubs, everything was just sat in a database. Useless. Having a database full of information is pointless if you don’t do anything with it.

“Effectively, what we were doing was ticking boxes to say to our bosses: look at all of the information we collect. It didn’t do anything.”

Prestige subsequently scoured the market for technology that would complement the culture change at the club. He came across two software solutions, which could sit side by side.

The first was data blending software from Californian startup Alteryx, which enables users to collate information without the need for programming. The second was Tableau Software, which has taken a lead in an increasingly lucrative market around data visualisation.

The combination allows Bolton to easily pool together the hoards of data available to them – which comes in different formats and would previously take extensive time to export, transfer and edit – and visualise it into graphs and graphics that Freedman can actively incorporate into his strategy.

“With all this information, we can make decisions weekly, daily, hourly or even quicker,” Prestige says. “Our training from the morning gets uploaded live to a cloud server and into Tableau so the coaches can decide who’s doing what training in the afternoon.

“You’re talking 15 minutes between the end of one session and the start of the next. That’s an example of how quick decisions need to be made, and because of that they need to be right decisions.

“Without it we would have thousands of XML files just sat there on a server, all of these datasets taking time to pass manually, and we’d be gaining insights in a very slow amount of time. In fact, we’d be getting the wrong insights because we weren’t able to blend data together. If we can’t do that then we haven’t got the whole picture.”

Another limitation of Prozone is it gives the basic information from a match – like passing and shooting statistics – in 15-minute breakdowns with second-by-second data. Alteryx has allowed Bolton to aggregate this into one complete view of a match with minute-by-minute data that Freedman can examine.

It has also allowed the team to gain more insight from the passing-grid statistics that Prozone provides, based on who’s passed to who, where on the pitch, and how many times.

We want our team to play through the middle - from the defenders, through the central midfielders, to the attacking midfielder,” says Prestige. “The passing grid runs through Tableau, and Alteryx shows whether this is happening.

We want our number 10 to be receiving the ball from our two central midfielders and then sliding it through to our strikers, so the data visualisation shows what his most common passes made and received are.

“The information from this is actionable. The manager will understand why things didn’t work the way he wanted it to and what to work on in training. So training sessions are dictated by the data coming through Alteryx into Tableau and visualised on the manager’s dashboard. He loves the iPad version.”

So as football managers across the world weigh-up how to spend their millions this summer, Bolton believe their technology signings could help elevate them back to the Premier League more than any one player.

“Tableau is the star; the Lionel Messi, the great visualiser and the lovely end goal,” says Prestige. “Alteryx is the rest of the team; blending and processing everything together, allowing Tableau to perform and shine.”

But there is still much work to be done, a lot of which comes back to the culture of football.

“I’ve been on a crusade for the last two years, getting people from the analytics community and talking to them,” says Prestige. “The trouble is, football is too closed off.

“People in football clubs don’t want to talk to people who aren’t in football clubs, and people from the outside think they know better. Therefore there’s a massive barrier that needs breaking down.”

The only way to do that, he believes, is to actually communicate. As such, Bolton have been inviting people to sit down with Freedman to educate them on the club's philosophy and hopefully empower them to develop a better external solution for football analytics, rather than having to do it themselves.

“That’s why, for me, nobody external is in our club currently. I’d love to see that change, but the only way to do that is by a broader culture change in football with more sharing – like there is in the States with some of their sports.”

Indeed, technology never stands still and other parts of the world are also embracing new data-related innovations.

In April, Atletico Madrid assistant coach German Burgos wore Google Glass in a victory against Getafe. Google has developed alongside the Liga de Futbol Profesional (LFP) to allow coaches to receive live statistics from a match.

Bolton won’t fall behind, however, and have similar plans of their own.

“You’re not technically allowed,” Prestige says. “Particularly in UEFA competitions, you’re stringently not allowed any sort of technology in the dugout.

“But people do and we’re going to. We’ve got full plans to pretend the manager is just FaceTiming his Mrs if the fourth official comes across.”

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Guest


Guest

Fascinating read, cheers.

I just hope they get the buy-in because, speaking as someone who's spent the last twenty years trying to use Continuous Improvement methodologies and tools like these to implement positive change, I can tell you it's never easy to convince the people who actually matter (the players in this case) that they should believe in them and start to embrace the change.

And I suspect that if you're dealing with a group of young men who basically left school at 16 and started earning stupid money just for kicking a ball not long thereafter, that problem will be doubly hard to crack.

It needs to be explained in simple language that they can understand and they need to see proof that it works and will benefit them almost immediately, otherwise they'll just switch off and ignore it. 

It all sounds great on paper and I hope it helps, I just have my doubts......

Bolton Nuts


Admin

We have full plans to pretend the boss is just facetiming the Mrs if the fourth official comes over....

hahahaha

https://boltonnuts.forumotion.co.uk

bwfc71

bwfc71
Ivan Campo
Ivan Campo

Sounds very akin to what we had before, under Allardyce, before Megson and Coyle dismantled it completely!

But I am all for sports sciences and data like this if it means we can get the best out of our players and play to the best of the team - all depends on how the data is managed - Big Sam did well with, and still does, how will Dougie fayre?

wanderlust

wanderlust
Nat Lofthouse
Nat Lofthouse

bwfc71 wrote:Sounds very akin to what we had before, under Allardyce, before Megson and Coyle dismantled it completely!
I thought the article explains that the Prozone data was plentiful but had little practical use and was difficult to interpret quickly so that it could inform changes in e.g. a training session?

Maybe I'm reading it incorrectly.

Sluffy

Sluffy
Admin

wanderlust wrote:
bwfc71 wrote:Sounds very akin to what we had before, under Allardyce, before Megson and Coyle dismantled it completely!
I thought the article explains that the Prozone data was plentiful but had little practical use and was difficult to interpret quickly so that it could inform changes in e.g. a training session?

Maybe I'm reading it incorrectly.

No you are right Lusty.

I did think of pointing the same thing out too but it crossed my mind that Mr Amos had probably not read the article - indeed the Prozone criticism was made very early on in it - so why bother doing so.

Not the first time he's commented on an article  he's not read either.

How's life around Ewood these days Chris!

Guest


Guest

...and do you know that someone is posting on the Bolton News website as "Chris Amos" now and unless you've had a stroke and completely abandoned everything you have ever believed and have completely changed your world view........

......I think you've had your identity stolen.

wanderlust

wanderlust
Nat Lofthouse
Nat Lofthouse

Biggie wrote:We have full plans to pretend the boss is just facetiming the Mrs if the fourth official comes over....

hahahaha
Having alerted every fourth official in the country to this I can't wait to see what this cunning plan is - it must be a cracker.

bwfc71

bwfc71
Ivan Campo
Ivan Campo

Sluffy wrote:
wanderlust wrote:
bwfc71 wrote:Sounds very akin to what we had before, under Allardyce, before Megson and Coyle dismantled it completely!
I thought the article explains that the Prozone data was plentiful but had little practical use and was difficult to interpret quickly so that it could inform changes in e.g. a training session?

Maybe I'm reading it incorrectly.

No you are right Lusty.

I did think of pointing the same thing out too but it crossed my mind that Mr Amos had probably not read the article - indeed the Prozone criticism was made very early on in it - so why bother doing so.

Not the first time he's commented on an article  he's not read either.

How's life around Ewood these days Chris!

A least I can read the facts about the state of the financial affairs, via the actual financial reports and researching companies without having to read The Beano of football, (use the name of any football magazine here) which only presumes it has the facts!

As for Ewood, wouldn't know as I use the M65 before Ewood to by-pass it!

As for the article itself.  Like many advancements of course they will supercede anything that was before, where it is actually more accurate or not (only time will tell). buts lets not forget that all Sports Sciences data was basically abolished under Megson and Coyle didn't do much to improve the situation therefore we are starting from a "deficit" position in which the best similarity was Prozone data.  A system that many clubs, including top-clubs and national teams, still currently use.

Guest


Guest

Never mind all that, what about this "Chris Amos" who's posting comments on the BN site?

Have you had a breakdown and gone proper mental or what?

bwfc71

bwfc71
Ivan Campo
Ivan Campo

Breadman wrote:Never mind all that, what about this "Chris Amos" who's posting comments on the BN site?

Have you had a breakdown and gone proper mental or what?

There was a few the other night and they got reported.  If there are any more they will also get reported.

Like I stated on another forum, it looks as though I am really shit-stirring the so-called Ukippers in Bolton!  Very Happy  Very Happy

Guest


Guest

You and that PradaGucci thing.......

bwfc71

bwfc71
Ivan Campo
Ivan Campo

That pradagucci is a new on one me, just see the posts in last couple of days.....

Sluffy

Sluffy
Admin

bwfc71 wrote:
A least I can read the facts about the state of the financial affairs, via the actual financial reports and researching companies without having to read The Beano of football, (use the name of any football magazine here) which only presumes it has the facts!

As for Ewood, wouldn't know as I use the M65 before Ewood to by-pass it!

As for the article itself.  Like many advancements of course they will supercede anything that was before, where it is actually more accurate or not (only time will tell). buts lets not forget that all Sports Sciences data was basically abolished under Megson and Coyle didn't do much to improve the situation therefore we are starting from a "deficit" position in which the best similarity was Prozone data.  A system that many clubs, including top-clubs and national teams, still currently use.

Chris, why don't you just quit whilst you are behind rather than digging the hole bigger for yourself?

If you read the article - and clearly you still haven't - then you will find that contrary to your belief, Megson and Coyle did not 'abolish' sports science at the club - the present company as been there for the last NINE YEARS!

As for the pop you've attempted at me, I would be amazed if you have actually scrutinised Eddie Davies personal accounts - for after all the point at issue was Mr Davies personal wealth - and if you are talented enough to consider the Times Rich List the 'Beano of football' then you must be a truly amazing amazing financial advisor, which after telling all and sundry about how you left your last two paid employments and your recent spell of receiving income benefits, I some how doubt.

All you had to do was read the article before commenting to avoid making yourself looking rather silly.

Guest


Guest

bwfc71 wrote:That pradagucci is a new on one me, just see the posts in last couple of days.....

.......ok.

Just out of interest (and I swear I won't tell anybody else), given that the vast majority of regular posters on the BN site are convinced that you post about half of the comments posted on there on every topic under various guises, how many accounts do you actually have?

I'm not saying I believe this for one second, but I have read comments that suggest that you do, on occasion, argue with yourself on certain subjects.

That can't be true, surely......?

bwfc71

bwfc71
Ivan Campo
Ivan Campo

Your original 2 pops at me, in the very same post, were very infantile to be honest!  It is not as if we don't know your life story as you do, also, go on about it!!!

As for Megson and Coyle - they did drop the sports science, ifo more basic football training as that is very much common knowledge, and as the report says the company has been the for 9 years, then it hasn't done much good, so far!!!  Very revolutionary! 

The Times Rich List, don't you mean 442 or some other football magazine, which you mentioned at the time.  This is the first time that you mentioned the Times Rich List.  Lets not also forget that Eddie is also rumoured to be one of the main directors of Moonshift Investment which have ploughed the majority of the what we owe into the club and the majority of that would be on revolving facilities which is very common business practice!!!  Also with regards to the Moonshift Invesment we do have a 10 year notice clause, as common knowledge, so it is not as if they can cancel the loan straight off - we have 10 years of repayments from the moment they say!

As for the jibe about my employment status (yes another jibe!!!!)  lets see - I was employed, more than half the office was laid off and we all got a decent pay-off and that was in the deepest part of the recession where there was no work but I lasted.  I then moved back to the UK and took a temporary position (my choice) which lasted 6 months longer than what it did - in fact my contract was extended THREE times!!!  And yes I was unemployed for 2.5 months  (and 3 weeks of that was because of the security and financial searches that had to be undertaken - which is common place in the financial sector) as I was looking for a specific type of job rather than just any job.  I am now employed again doing what I wanted to do and doing well - so your assumption is just making yourself look rather silly!

bwfc71

bwfc71
Ivan Campo
Ivan Campo

Breadman wrote:
bwfc71 wrote:That pradagucci is a new on one me, just see the posts in last couple of days.....

.......ok.

Just out of interest (and I swear I won't tell anybody else), given that the vast majority of regular posters on the BN site are convinced that you post about half of the comments posted on there on every topic under various guises, how many accounts do you actually have?

I'm not saying I believe this for one second, but I have read comments that suggest that you do, on occasion, argue with yourself on certain subjects.

That can't be true, surely......?

Truth is I have one account - Nigella Farrage! (and before anyone says I don't even pretend to be a female) - its just a mimmick of Nigel Farage's name!

I did have two.   I was BWFC71 and TRO  (primarily because of the way I signed in at work, via email address, and signed in at home, via facebook account) up until just before the elections when I decided to give them up a start a new account.   I don't even log on to those two accounts anymore and have asked the BN to delete them.

Guest


Guest

Thanks for clearing that up, I appreciate it.

So.......about glass being a fluid, then......?

bwfc71

bwfc71
Ivan Campo
Ivan Campo

Breadman wrote:Thanks for clearing that up, I appreciate it.

So.......about glass being a fluid, then......?

I am sticking to my guns on that because it is a non-crystalline substance rather than a crystalline solid!

It is in the make-up of the words more than anything else!  Smile

Guest


Guest

Chris,

Serious question now........

If you've had these face to face discussions with the editorial staff on the BN about censorship and people hacking you and the rest of it, do you not think it's a tad disingenuous of you to hide behind fake characters, given that you've complained about people using underhand tactics on there?

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