whatsgoingon wrote:You're right about the fact that the problem is not dealing with the problem head on, as a nation we are one of the most racially tolerant.
We were, I'm not so sure we can continue to say this unfortunately.
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whatsgoingon wrote:You're right about the fact that the problem is not dealing with the problem head on, as a nation we are one of the most racially tolerant.
bwfc1874 wrote:In fairness Lust, what hard work? UKIP (thank god) have no power at all so the likes of Nutall, Farage and Carswell talking as if they're going to have any say in the negotiations is nonsense
Very good points well made Nick.NickFazer wrote:My reasons for voting Leave and expectations of a Brexiteer.
Firstly I have for many years been a supporter of the EU and have often argued for it, the idea of nation states trading freely and by movement of labour, I will come back to that later, developing a greater understanding of our neighbours and reducing the need for conflict. How could anyone object to that.
The common market and the freedom to move to another EEC member state to work was acceptable and worked to the benefit of all its members, wasn't perfect but what is. Over time as the EEC enlarged and then morphed into the EU however the mission creep began and some elements of the European Project have not sat easily with the population of the UK and I think that the Euro was the turning point. When we didn't join the Eurozone, at the time I thought we should have, I think the UK's relationship with the EU changed and we should have left then, it would still have been messy but not as much as now, we have been a reluctant member since and it is almost akin to a bad marriage. The UK has negotiated opt outs for this and that which some other member states are resentful of and feel that despite the UK having special treatment we are never happy.
We didn't join the Euro and have stated that we never will so it is pointless debating if we would have made it stronger or not but it is undeniable that it is a failing currency. Ideologies are all well and good but the nations of Europe are economically and culturally diverse [wonderfully so imo] and the imposition of the single currency has been an economic disaster across Europe. Unemployment, especially for young people is unacceptably high across the continent, the Eurozone's growth has been sluggish for years and shows no sign of recovery, Italy's banking system is on the verge of collapse and the French workers are fighting the governments labour reforms after years of austerity and no wage rises. That is to say nothing of the EU's Greek rescue plan that has impoverished a nation for generations and a migrant crisis that is stoking the rise of populist right wing parties across the board, it isn't just the UK that has had enough of "More Europe". Why do you want to Leave you ask, why would you want to stay?
Expections
Trade Relations
It will be a difficult and fractious period until an agreement is reached with the EU that is acceptable to both the UK and Brussels but it will be done. Pragmatism will always prevail in the end and although it may be a bumpy ride there is too much benefit to us and the EU member states not reach a settlement. Our trade deficit with the EU is approx 24 billion pounds per quarter, thats a lot of wonga when your economy is up shit creek.
Once our deal with Europe is done and maybe before we are free to negotiate with non EU states regarding trade, surprisingly there are quite a lot of them and we still have close relations with the commonwealth nations and despite the dearth of trade negotiators, did we have none in Brussels? I think there is reason for optimism. We are a great trading nation and negotiating with one voice is 27 times easier than negotiating with 27 voices.
Immigration - I am 50 years old and have still to reach the average age of the population [55, I think] so it doesn't take a genius to work out that we need immigration for the economy to grow. I am not a "Little Englander" and am of the view the vast majority of migrants contribute positively, it is up to government to implement a social security system that doesn't encourage those that are here for a free ride. I expect immigration to remain at current rates unless we go in to prolonged recession.
NHS: It is almost a sacred cow in this country and unfortunately became the focus of outrageous propaganda by the Leave campaign. An extra £350 million a week - this sum doesn't exist our net contribution to the EU is more in the region of £160 million a week and not all of that, if any will be re allocated to the NHS. One of my frustrations with the EU is that it never sorts its problems out just muddles through, we need to have a serious debate about the NHS and weather it is still fit for purpose.
Security: Not in anyone's interest to stop co-operating and sharing information. No change
The City: London's status as Europe's largest financial centre may be threatened, depends on if we leave completely or become associate members with access to the single market. Uncertain
Economy: Will probably have a period of uncertainty until negotiations are concluded but I doubt that the doom mongers are correct, we have a diverse economy and it may become economical to manufacture here again rather than import goods depending on tariffs etc. Too early to say but we will have greater autonomy so if we succeed of fail it will be by our own efforts.
Overall I think leaving is the right thing to do. I don't think the EU will survive in the medium to the long term in any case, it will collapse under the weight of its own bureaucracy or rising social unrest. What might be left is a more democratic common market, which I would be only to pleased to vote to join
NickFazer wrote:The EU has done some good things and as I said I am an ex supporter, what I would really like like to see is its nation building agenda rolled back but I can't see that happening unless they are forced in to it, they are either completely out of touch or supremely arrogant I can't make my mind up. If we leave, still not convinced that we will, we can still be a prosperous nation with a voice in the world, we may be a little worse off or a little better off but we will survive.
Can I ask the Remainers, if we were not members would you be in favour of joining?
And thanks for the nice comments
NickFazer wrote:My reasons for voting Leave and expectations of a Brexiteer.
Firstly I have for many years been a supporter of the EU and have often argued for it, the idea of nation states trading freely and by movement of labour, I will come back to that later, developing a greater understanding of our neighbours and reducing the need for conflict. How could anyone object to that.
The common market and the freedom to move to another EEC member state to work was acceptable and worked to the benefit of all its members, wasn't perfect but what is. Over time as the EEC enlarged and then morphed into the EU however the mission creep began and some elements of the European Project have not sat easily with the population of the UK and I think that the Euro was the turning point. When we didn't join the Eurozone, at the time I thought we should have, I think the UK's relationship with the EU changed and we should have left then, it would still have been messy but not as much as now, we have been a reluctant member since and it is almost akin to a bad marriage. The UK has negotiated opt outs for this and that which some other member states are resentful of and feel that despite the UK having special treatment we are never happy.
We didn't join the Euro and have stated that we never will so it is pointless debating if we would have made it stronger or not but it is undeniable that it is a failing currency. Ideologies are all well and good but the nations of Europe are economically and culturally diverse [wonderfully so imo] and the imposition of the single currency has been an economic disaster across Europe. Unemployment, especially for young people is unacceptably high across the continent, the Eurozone's growth has been sluggish for years and shows no sign of recovery, Italy's banking system is on the verge of collapse and the French workers are fighting the governments labour reforms after years of austerity and no wage rises. That is to say nothing of the EU's Greek rescue plan that has impoverished a nation for generations and a migrant crisis that is stoking the rise of populist right wing parties across the board, it isn't just the UK that has had enough of "More Europe". Why do you want to Leave you ask, why would you want to stay?
Expections
Trade Relations
It will be a difficult and fractious period until an agreement is reached with the EU that is acceptable to both the UK and Brussels but it will be done. Pragmatism will always prevail in the end and although it may be a bumpy ride there is too much benefit to us and the EU member states not reach a settlement. Our trade deficit with the EU is approx 24 billion pounds per quarter, thats a lot of wonga when your economy is up shit creek.
Once our deal with Europe is done and maybe before we are free to negotiate with non EU states regarding trade, surprisingly there are quite a lot of them and we still have close relations with the commonwealth nations and despite the dearth of trade negotiators, did we have none in Brussels? I think there is reason for optimism. We are a great trading nation and negotiating with one voice is 27 times easier than negotiating with 27 voices.
Immigration - I am 50 years old and have still to reach the average age of the population [55, I think] so it doesn't take a genius to work out that we need immigration for the economy to grow. I am not a "Little Englander" and am of the view the vast majority of migrants contribute positively, it is up to government to implement a social security system that doesn't encourage those that are here for a free ride. I expect immigration to remain at current rates unless we go in to prolonged recession.
NHS: It is almost a sacred cow in this country and unfortunately became the focus of outrageous propaganda by the Leave campaign. An extra £350 million a week - this sum doesn't exist our net contribution to the EU is more in the region of £160 million a week and not all of that, if any will be re allocated to the NHS. One of my frustrations with the EU is that it never sorts its problems out just muddles through, we need to have a serious debate about the NHS and weather it is still fit for purpose.
Security: Not in anyone's interest to stop co-operating and sharing information. No change
The City: London's status as Europe's largest financial centre may be threatened, depends on if we leave completely or become associate members with access to the single market. Uncertain
Economy: Will probably have a period of uncertainty until negotiations are concluded but I doubt that the doom mongers are correct, we have a diverse economy and it may become economical to manufacture here again rather than import goods depending on tariffs etc. Too early to say but we will have greater autonomy so if we succeed of fail it will be by our own efforts.
Overall I think leaving is the right thing to do. I don't think the EU will survive in the medium to the long term in any case, it will collapse under the weight of its own bureaucracy or rising social unrest. What might be left is a more democratic common market, which I would be only to pleased to vote to join
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