I'm sure the universities themselves are as Covid proof as can be expected but can anyone really believe that a million young people, many being free from their parents eye for the first times in their lives, are going to be socially distancing in their halls of residence/house shares. etc and refraining from all the sort of stuff they do these days?
Perfect recipe for a Covid spike, people moving from places with high numbers of cases, such as say the north west/Yorkshire lockdown areas to university towns and city's with low/no cases and visa versa, kids from non effected areas going to places like Manchester (8th out of 315) and Leeds (18th) and bringing the virus back with them during home visits where no doubt they will be catching up with their mates!
Clearly the makings of the second wave.
I'm sure the kids will be fine and enjoy themselves - and why not, isn't that what life is all about but no doubt the numbers of new cases will shoot up.
Fwiw I've been monitoring what I think is really the key indicator in all of this and that is hospital admissions.
The fantastic news is that although new cases are set to rocket up, hospital admissions have steadily gone down - would you believe as at the 28th August (the latest figures I can verify) there are only 430 people in hospital with Covid in the whole of England - seems really, really low to me?
There's 255 in Scotland for comparison.
Anyway my point is that we know the virus is out there but it no longer seems to equate the need for hospital care - I guess the young are catching it but it isn't knocking them down in any way.
I predict university opening will cause a big spread of the virus to parts of the country who seem clear of it up to now (watch out North Norfolk) but won't be such a grim reaper as such for most of us unless we are unlucky and already in the at risk/vulnerable class already.
Reading and Royal Holloway are probably the nearest two universities to where I live so doubt I'll be effected much by kids coming into my area and as my area is up there in new cases anyway I can't see many brining the virus back with them changing things much for me either - but I'm sure others will be in areas which may well suffer from the the kids moving in and out of the area where you and/or your love ones live.
Anyone got any thoughts?
Should the universities reopen or these days should they all do the lecturing via Zoom direct to the students family homes?