Too many variables to make a straightforward case either way. It could be argued:
* BKD is hungrier now he isn't automatically selected so we should treat him mean to keep him keen
* Ngog made Alonso's goal (still trying to get over Alonso scoring) and when we have other players around him he has the touch to be useful
* If we're playing 442 we still haven't tried all the permutations up front and we don't know the best combo as yet
* I we play 451 or 4141 the 1 has to be Ngog for his work rate in chasing lost causes - although Sordell might be able to do that
...it goes on.
But I think it comes down to something far simpler. Basically we have phases of the game when OC is willing to commit extra bodies forward. When we have midfielders joining the attack we look threatening and whichever strikers are on the park will have a chance of scoring. At the same time, this approach is our Achilles heel. We don't have the pace or quality at the back to deal with counterattacks. Yesterday for instance, having scraped through the first half without conceding (and having everyone behind the ball) we opened up for the first 20 minutes of the second half and looked the likelier to score - and sure enough the first time Wolves had some decent possession they walked through us and scored. We need holding/screening midfielders to protect our weak defence - which means we can't commit too many players forward (without risk) and that's what gives us our dilemma with the strikers who need lots of support. So OC has a simple choice to make: play 1 up front and be more secure at the back but offer little threat or commit players. Whoever is selected as striker has no choice but to work their nuts off in the hope that they'll get support and that will be the case until either we find a scoring partnership to justify a 442 or we get a skilled and pacy back 4 that doesn't need shielding.
Wigan seem to have found a way around this problem by playing 3 CBs and going narrow when the wingbacks - who have licence to attack - are upfield. Effectively its a 532 when they don't have possession and a 343 or 334 when they do depending on how many midfielders are also pushed on. Perhaps we should try it?
* BKD is hungrier now he isn't automatically selected so we should treat him mean to keep him keen
* Ngog made Alonso's goal (still trying to get over Alonso scoring) and when we have other players around him he has the touch to be useful
* If we're playing 442 we still haven't tried all the permutations up front and we don't know the best combo as yet
* I we play 451 or 4141 the 1 has to be Ngog for his work rate in chasing lost causes - although Sordell might be able to do that
...it goes on.
But I think it comes down to something far simpler. Basically we have phases of the game when OC is willing to commit extra bodies forward. When we have midfielders joining the attack we look threatening and whichever strikers are on the park will have a chance of scoring. At the same time, this approach is our Achilles heel. We don't have the pace or quality at the back to deal with counterattacks. Yesterday for instance, having scraped through the first half without conceding (and having everyone behind the ball) we opened up for the first 20 minutes of the second half and looked the likelier to score - and sure enough the first time Wolves had some decent possession they walked through us and scored. We need holding/screening midfielders to protect our weak defence - which means we can't commit too many players forward (without risk) and that's what gives us our dilemma with the strikers who need lots of support. So OC has a simple choice to make: play 1 up front and be more secure at the back but offer little threat or commit players. Whoever is selected as striker has no choice but to work their nuts off in the hope that they'll get support and that will be the case until either we find a scoring partnership to justify a 442 or we get a skilled and pacy back 4 that doesn't need shielding.
Wigan seem to have found a way around this problem by playing 3 CBs and going narrow when the wingbacks - who have licence to attack - are upfield. Effectively its a 532 when they don't have possession and a 343 or 334 when they do depending on how many midfielders are also pushed on. Perhaps we should try it?